Loading the round…

Where does gold close today?

Call the price you think gold will close at on the COMEX. Whoever gets closest tops the leaderboard. Every month we hand out two funded accounts: $5,000 and $2,500.

XAU · last few days

— · TradingView

Your prediction

$—

vs. previous close

0,00 %

The big prize: monthly, across all three contests

$5,000

funded account

for the monthly #1

$2,500

funded account

raffled among 2nd to 10th

Accounts courtesy of The Trading Pit

Every week, too

3.000 · 2.000 · 1,000 Respect

To the top three, with cut-offs on the 7, 14, 21.

And every day

First

400

Respect

Second

200

Respect

Top 10

10→1

points

Respect is the TheGodFunded currency: it stacks up and buys discounts and prizes in the shop. Points are a different thing —you cannot spend them— and only move you up the leaderboard below, which is what hands out the funded accounts.

1 You call today's close for gold.
2 Entries close a while before the real close.
3 At the COMEX close, 5:00 PM ET we compare with the real price.
4 Whoever missed by least gets paid. Over or under costs the same.

Overall leaderboard

Adds up points from all three contests. The monthly #1 takes the $5,000 account; 2nd to 10th enter the raffle for a $2,500 one.

Everything you need to know

The gold price prediction contest

Which gold price we use

The round settles on the gold closing price on the COMEX, the New York metals futures market, at 5:00 PM Eastern. It is the reference price the industry quotes, which is why it decides the winner: it is published, verifiable and does not depend on which broker you look at.

The chart above shows the same data that settles the round, so what you read on screen is exactly what you are competing against.

What moves gold on a normal day

Gold does not trade on company earnings or product news: it moves on interest rates, on the dollar and on fear. When real rates rise, holding gold costs more compared to a bond and it tends to fall. When the dollar weakens, the same metal costs more dollars and it rises. And when there is a geopolitical or financial scare, money flows in looking for shelter.

In practice, on inflation data days or Federal Reserve meeting days the range blows open. On a quiet day gold moves a few dollars; on a big data day, tens of them.

How to sharpen your number

Look at the previous close and the day’s range on the chart. Most closes land near the current price, so betting on a far-off number only makes sense if you expect news. And remember it is won on absolute distance: overshooting by twenty dollars costs exactly as much as undershooting by twenty.

How it works

You pick a price and wait. At the close we compare your number with the real one and whoever missed by least wins, in absolute terms. Entries close a while before the real close, with a margin so nobody predicts with the price already made; until then you can change your number as often as you like.

What you win

The big prize is monthly: whoever finishes first takes a $5,000 funded account from The Trading Pit, and 2nd to 10th enter the raffle for a $2,500 one — no account is promised, you enter the draw. Weekly segments pay 3000, 2000, 1000 Respect to the top three, and each daily podium takes 400 and 200.

Respect is the site currency: it stacks up and buys discounts and prizes in the shop. Points are a different thing — you cannot spend them — and only move you up the leaderboard, which is what hands out the accounts.

Why we ask for Discord

Rounds are announced and settled on our server. Linking your account stops one person playing with several emails, and it is how we pay you what you win. You only do it once.

The other contests

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